Alex de Minaur and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2018; Alex de Minaur leads 4–0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Wimbledon (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Baena
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 59% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 757 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Alex de Minaur.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -5.13u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Baena's 13%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 64 | L 64 36 36 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 67 63 57 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 62 64 62 | W 60 63 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | L 46 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 57 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 63 36 76 | L 67 57 64 26 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 62 | L 16 46 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Stefano Travaglia
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 11
Max Hans Rehberg
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Gianmarco Ferrari
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 10
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 53% |
| Sets won | 65% | 50% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
