Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 3 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Zhuhai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Agut's 2. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Bautista Agut won at ATP Cup - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Bautista Agut 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Bautista Agut.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 2, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 24, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Agut's 22%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | L 67 16 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | W 76 76 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 26 57 26 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 63 36 | L 26 46 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | W 64 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | L 16 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 62 75 | L 76 36 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | L 04 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 62 62 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 32% |
| Sets won | 62% | 36% |
| Games won | 54% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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