Alex de Minaur vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 3 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Zhuhai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Agut's 2. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Bautista Agut won at ATP Cup - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Bautista Agut 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Bautista Agut.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 2, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 24, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | - |
| ROI % | +8.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Agut's 29%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | L 67 16 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | W 76 76 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 26 57 26 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | W 64 63 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | L 16 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | L 04 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 62 62 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 32% |
| Sets won | 63% | 36% |
| Games won | 54% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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