Alex de Minaur vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Miomir Kecmanovic have met 3 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 6 sets to Kecmanovic's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 53% | 27/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Kecmanovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Miomir Kecmanovic.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 24, 2020
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 6, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 3.08 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -34.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -4.89u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kecmanovic's 30%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | L 16 64 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | W 63 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | L 26 64 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 63 36 76 | L 76 46 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 64 36 76 26 36 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 64 36 16 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 57 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | L 63 26 16 26 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | W 57 64 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 46 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Rinderknech
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 47% |
| Sets won | 62% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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