Alex de Minaur vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Miomir Kecmanovic have met 3 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 6 sets to Kecmanovic's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 53% | 28/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 33% | 12/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Kecmanovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Miomir Kecmanovic.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 24, 2020
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 6, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -6.34u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kecmanovic's 10%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 36 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 16 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 62 62 | L 67 63 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | L 36 63 67 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 63 63 | L 64 36 16 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | L 46 64 46 16 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | L 16 64 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | L 26 64 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 64 36 76 26 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | W 57 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 47% |
| Sets won | 63% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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