Alex de Minaur vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Mariano Navone have met 2 times since 2024; Alex de Minaur leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 2–0. Minaur has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 4 sets to Navone's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Navone 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Alex de Minaur and Mariano Navone are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 29, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +25.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +3.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Navone's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | L | W 76 57 46 62 61 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 16 62 63 | L 46 57 |
| Quentin Halys | W 36 76 75 | L 57 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | L 16 63 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 57 26 | W 57 76 75 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 61 76 | W 36 63 64 76 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 36 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 58% |
| Sets won | 63% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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