Alex de Minaur vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Marcos Giron have met 5 times since 2019; Marcos Giron leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Giron leads 3–2. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 6 sets to Giron's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 53% | 26/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 50% | 13/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Giron 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marcos Giron.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 30, 2021
Sofia Open - Sofia
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 23, 2021
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 23, 2020
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -63.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -6.39u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Giron's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | L 57 64 26 |
| Quentin Halys | W 36 76 75 | W 76 63 64 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | W 46 75 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | L 26 67 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 76 61 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | L 36 62 67 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | L 76 06 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 57 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 16 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 44% |
| Sets won | 63% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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