Alex de Minaur vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊAlex de Minaur
#7 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
5 meetings Β· sets 6β7

πΊπΈMarcos Giron
#77 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
4Alex de Minaur and Marcos Giron have met 5 times since 2019; Marcos Giron leads 3β2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Giron leads 3β2. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 6 sets to Giron's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Giron 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
πͺ Counterpuncher
Giron
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The π― Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marcos Giron.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Sep 30, 2021
Sofia Open - Sofia
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Sep 23, 2021
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Oct 23, 2020
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard Β· Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β6 | 4β8 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -46.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km | 737 mi Β· 1,186 km |
| Route | USA β CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Giron's 30%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | W 76 63 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 46 64 | L 57 64 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 76 61 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 46 | L 26 67 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | L 36 62 67 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 61 | L 76 06 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 57 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 16 75 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | L 76 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 44% |
| Sets won | 62% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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