Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Flavio Cobolli have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 3 sets to Cobolli's 3. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 9% | 2/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cobolli
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 6, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Jan 19, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +38.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +5.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cobolli's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | W 46 76 63 |
| Arthur Fery | W 75 76 | L 46 67 06 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | W 75 46 75 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | W 76 36 76 61 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | L 26 46 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 62 57 62 64 | W 62 63 67 76 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 62 62 | W 06 76 67 62 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 75 | L 26 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 46 | L 16 64 46 76 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 60% |
| Sets won | 62% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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