Alex de Minaur vs Daniel EvansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Daniel Evans have met 5 times since 2018; Daniel Evans leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Nottingham in 2018 on grass. On hard courts Evans leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Minaur leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 7 sets to Evans's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Daniel Evans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Evans 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Evans
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 31, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 13, 2023
Davis Cup, Group B, Manchester
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jan 9, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 17, 2018
Nottingham
G Grass · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | - |
| ROI % | +8.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Evans's 0%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | W 76 64 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 25% |
| Sets won | 63% | 33% |
| Games won | 54% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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