Alex de Minaur vs Cristian GarinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Cristian Garin have met 5 times since 2019; Alex de Minaur leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 3–0. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 12 sets to Garin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at U.S. Open - New York (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Garin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Cristian Garin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Garin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Alex de Minaur and Cristian Garin are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 31, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 4, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Jun 20, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 29, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +39.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | — |
| Route | GBR → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Garin's 22%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | W 76 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | L 64 46 57 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | L 06 26 |
| Toby Samuel | W 64 64 62 | L |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | L 62 46 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | L 67 57 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | L 67 46 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 62 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 64 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 54% |
| Sets won | 63% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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