Head-to-Head

Alex de Minaur vs Andrea GuerrieriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇺Alex de Minaur

#7 · 27 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇮🇹Andrea Guerrieri

#187 · 27 yrs · L

3wBack after 3w off

Upcoming match

Tournament: U.S. Open - New York
Level: Grand Slam
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Hard
Date & time: September 1 · 5:00 PM ET

Book odds

Andrea Guerrieri13.5012.90

Alex de Minaur1.03

Set spread

Guerrieri -1.517.33

de Minaur +1.51.02

Game spread

Guerrieri +91.91

de Minaur -91.80

GuerrieriClay-court specialist (61%)de MinaurHard-court specialist (69%)

Record at prices like this

Alex de Minaur1.0393% fairWon 100%

Priced around 1.03 or shorter, Alex de Minaur has won 12 of 12 matches, 100% against a fair-price expectation of 93%.

Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.

Alex de Minaur and Andrea Guerrieri meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on September 1 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	de Minaur	Guerrieri
Indicator	Alex de Minaur		Andrea Guerrieri
Wins in straight sets	74%	28/38	72%	42/58
Wins a set when losing	43%	10/23	23%	5/22
Goes to a deciding set	33%	20/61	26%	21/80
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	47%	24/51	60%	28/47
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	56%	5/9	65%	17/26
Tiebreak sets won	70%	16/23	52%	13/25
Wins after taking set 1	89%	34/38	100%	47/47
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	74%	28/38	89%	42/47

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Minaur

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Guerrieri

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

Both Alex de Minaur and Andrea Guerrieri are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Minaur and Guerrieri have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Minaur	Guerrieri
Outcome	Alex de Minaur		Andrea Guerrieri
1 or more	94%	17/18	75%	9/12
3 or more	78%	14/18	25%	3/12
5 or more	50%	9/18	17%	2/12
10 or more	0%	0/18	0%	0/12
15 or more	0%	0/18	0%	0/12
20 or more	0%	0/18	0%	0/12

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Minaur	Guerrieri
W-L	13–6	10–5
Avg odds	1.33	1.94
ROI %	-16.4%	+20.1%
Units P/L	-3.11u	+3.02u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Minaur	Guerrieri
Countries	2	1
Events	2	1
Matches	5	5
Distance	712 mi · 1,146 km	0 mi · 0 km
Route	CAN → USA	POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 2 shared opponents, both Minaur and Guerrieri posted a 100% win rate.

Opponent	Minaur	Guerrieri
Arthur Fery	W 75 76	W 64 63
Bu Yunchaokete	W 64 60	W 63 64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Minaur

LWWLWLWW

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

Aug 19

Arthur Fery

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

76³

Aug 17

Quentin Halys

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

76⁴

Aug 15

Cameron Norrie

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

6⁵7

Aug 6

James Duckworth

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

76⁶

Aug 5

Brandon Nakashima

Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals

6⁵7

Jul 31

Cruz Hewitt

Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round

Jul 30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

Jul 29

Guerrieri

LWWWWLWL

Joel Schwaerzler

Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Final

6⁴7

Aug 9

Daniil Glinka

Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals

Aug 8

Michele Ribecai

Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals

Aug 7

Viktor Durasovic

Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round

Aug 5

Olle Wallin

Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 4

Federico Agustin Gomez

Umag

Jul 12

Luca Nardi

Umag

76⁵

Jul 11

Hugo Dellien

Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round

Jul 9

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–80 matches

Metric	Minaur	Guerrieri
Matches won	64%	73%
Sets won	62%	67%
Games won	54%	55%