Alex de Minaur vs Andrea GuerrieriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Andrea Guerrieri have met 1 time since 2026; Alex de Minaur leads 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 3 sets to Guerrieri's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Guerrieri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Andrea Guerrieri | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 65% | 40/62 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 31% | 27/87 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 52% | 26/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 98% | 49/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 80% | 40/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Guerrieri
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Alex de Minaur and Andrea Guerrieri are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Guerrieri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Andrea Guerrieri | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.51 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | +21.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +3.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Minaur and Guerrieri posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 63 60 | W 36 63 64 |
| Arthur Fery | W 75 76 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Jesper de Jong
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Francesco Maestrelli
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alex de Minaur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Aziz Dougaz
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Joel Schwaerzler
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
August Holmgren
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–88 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 70% |
| Sets won | 63% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.