Alejandro Tabilo vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2021; Lorenzo Musetti leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Antalya 1 in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tabilo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 2 sets to Musetti's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Tabilo won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 18/36 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/40 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2025
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Final
Jan 28, 2021
Antalya Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 13, 2021
Antalya 1
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tabilo's 40%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Yi Zhou | W 46 64 63 | L 67 63 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 26 | L 46 57 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 62 67 63 | W 76 75 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 16 | L 46 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | W 64 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 76 46 64 | W 64 75 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | W 67 75 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 26 | W 76 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 63 67 46 | L 36 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 63 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–72 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 60% |
| Sets won | 52% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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