Alejandro Tabilo vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Andrey Rublev have met 3 times since 2024; Andrey Rublev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 3 sets to Rublev's 5. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 18/37 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 32/65 | 36% | 17/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 15/41 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Rublev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 18, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 23, 2024
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 5% | 1/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–10 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -3.4% | -12.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.61u | -2.33u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 8 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tabilo's 30%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 64 67 46 | W 76 61 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 76 46 64 | W 64 57 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | L 57 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 46 | W 63 63 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 75 36 36 | L 76 26 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 67 36 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 76 36 63 | L 63 36 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 61 57 36 | W 64 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 16 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–73 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 61% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.