Alejandro Tabilo vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alejandro Tabilo and Andrey Rublev have met 3 times since 2024; Andrey Rublev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 3 sets to Rublev's 5. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 26/49 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 34/76 | 33% | 14/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 22/46 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 15/32 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 37/45 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 26/45 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Rublev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
💥 Big Hitter
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 18, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 23, 2024
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 9% | 1/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -16.2% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.11u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tabilo and Rublev posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 62 61 | W 76 61 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 67 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 76 46 64 | L 57 67 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 76 36 63 | L 63 36 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 61 57 36 | W 64 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 16 | W 61 62 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 36 | W 62 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 57 16 | L 57 36 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | W 61 16 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 2
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Tallon Griekspoor
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–81 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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