Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
6w3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov
#47 · 27 yrs · L
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Denis Shapovalov have met 3 times since 2022; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 2–1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Shapovalov's 4. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 28, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 12, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | — | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | W 63 57 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 62 | W 26 63 62 |
| Alex Molcan | L 63 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | W 76 62 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | L 36 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 46 16 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 36 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | L 57 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 16 | L 46 26 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–49 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 46% |
| Sets won | 60% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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