Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Cameron NorriePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title3 meetings · sets 7–1
🇬🇧Cameron Norrie
#40 · 31 yrs · L
4Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Cameron Norrie have met 3 times since 2020; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. Fokina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 7 sets to Norrie's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Cameron Norrie | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 47% | 22/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 2, Norrie 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Cameron Norrie are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 424 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 12, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 4, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Cameron Norrie | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–2 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | +24.0% | -15.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.16u | -1.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Fokina's 30%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | L 61 67 46 | L 67 76 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | W 57 76 61 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 75 46 36 | L 36 75 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | W 63 46 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | L 36 57 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | W 62 67 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | L 57 76 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | L 36 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 54% |
| Sets won | 63% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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