Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Cameron NorriePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
6w3 meetings · sets 7–1

🇬🇧Cameron Norrie
#33 · 31 yrs · L
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Cameron Norrie have met 3 times since 2020; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. Fokina has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 7 sets to Norrie's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Cameron Norrie | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 45% | 23/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 88% | 22/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 2, Norrie 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Cameron Norrie are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 12, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 4, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Cameron Norrie | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -8.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | -0.99u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km |
| Route | — | MEX → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fokina's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 63 36 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | W 57 76 61 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 63 | W 76 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 75 46 36 | L 36 75 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 76 63 | W 63 46 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 64 67 16 36 | L 36 57 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | W 62 67 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | L 57 76 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | L 36 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–55 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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