Ajla Tomljanovic vs Aryna SabalenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บAjla Tomljanovic
#108 ยท 33 yrs ยท Right-Handed
15w35 meetings ยท sets 5โ8

๐ง๐พAryna Sabalenka
#2 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Aryna Sabalenka have met 5 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 4โ1. Their first meeting came at s-Hertogenbosch in 2018 on grass. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 3โ1. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 5 sets to Sabalenka's 8. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Kremlin Cup - Moscow (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Sabalenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Aryna Sabalenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 86% | 44/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 61% | 11/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 16/38 | 23% | 14/62 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 70% | 42/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 12/14 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 94% | 48/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 86% | 44/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 1, Sabalenka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Sabalenka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Aryna Sabalenka are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 20, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jan 8, 2021
Abu Dhabi
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Mar 20, 2019
Miami
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Mar 6, 2019
Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Jun 14, 2018
s-Hertogenbosch
G Grass ยท Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 10โ4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.17 |
| ROI % | - | -18.6% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tomljanovic's 50%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 46 75 26 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 64 | W 62 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 63 61 | W 64 62 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 61 63 | W 75 62 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 64 46 36 | L 62 36 57 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 75 46 | W 63 36 63 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | W 63 61 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 64 64 | W 63 60 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Semifinals
Jun 13
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York ยท Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 38โ62 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 82% |
| Sets won | 55% | 79% |
| Games won | 52% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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