Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊAjla Tomljanovic
#108 Β· 33 yrs Β· Right-Handed
15w34 meetings Β· sets 1β8

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wAjla Tomljanovic and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2024; Jessica Pegula leads 4β0. Their first meeting came at United Cup - Australia in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3β0. Pegula has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 1 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 61% | 11/18 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 16/38 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 12/14 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Pegula 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
π₯ Big Hitter
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Mar 1, 2025
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Jan 1, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 14β4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.48 |
| ROI % | - | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.86u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Tomljanovic's 60%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | L 64 46 36 | W 63 64 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 63 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 75 46 | W 64 26 76 |
| Simona Waltert | W 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 64 64 | W 46 63 61 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 63 61 | W 61 63 |
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | L 46 62 36 | W 76 61 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 62 67 75 | W 16 61 76 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 46 64 75 | W 57 62 63 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 36 36 | L 61 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· Semifinals
Jun 13
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 38β66 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 77% |
| Sets won | 55% | 69% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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