Tommy Paul vs Yannick HanfmannPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Tommy Paul and Yannick Hanfmann have met 3 times since 2019; Yannick Hanfmann leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Hanfmann leads 2–0. Hanfmann has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paul has taken 3 sets to Hanfmann's 5. Their most recent meeting: Yannick Hanfmann won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tommy Paul | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 8/14 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 21/44 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/39 | 51% | 18/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 4/4 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 97% | 31/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 0, Hanfmann 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Hanfmann
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 8, 2023
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 5, 2021
Sardegna Open - Cagliari
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 26, 2019
US Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paul | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tommy Paul | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 14% | 2/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | -9.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.17u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paul | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Paul and Hanfmann posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Paul | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 62 62 | W 76 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 75 46 76 | L 46 46 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 57 67 | W 67 76 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 16 26 | L 36 26 76 36 |
| Tomas Machac | L 62 36 36 | L 67 76 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 36 46 | L 67 36 26 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 62 36 46 | W 76 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 46 76 64 | L 36 67 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 67 63 | W 67 76 62 |
| Arthur Fils | L 76 67 67 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Kamil Majchrzak
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Luca Van Assche
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Flavio Cobolli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–65 matches
| Metric | Paul | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 58% |
| Sets won | 64% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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