Stefano Travaglia vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Stefano Travaglia and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2020; Tommy Paul leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Astana Open - Nur-Sultan in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3–0. Paul has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Travaglia has taken 2 sets to Paul's 9. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Travaglia | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Stefano Travaglia | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 12/28 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 19/38 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 27% | 9/33 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Travaglia 0, Paul 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Travaglia
👑 The Complete Package
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tommy Paul.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 30, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
May 23, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 26, 2020
Astana Open - Nur-Sultan
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Travaglia | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Stefano Travaglia | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Travaglia | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -79.4% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -6.35u | +0.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Travaglia | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | ITA | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Travaglia's 33%).
| Opponent | Travaglia | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 67 26 | W 62 62 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | W 67 63 64 | W 67 61 63 63 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 67 67 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Stefano Napolitano
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Matej Dodig
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Hans Rehberg
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–63 matches
| Metric | Travaglia | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Travaglia | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Travaglia | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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