Sebastian Baez vs Yannick HanfmannPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทSebastian Baez
#50 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 3โ5

๐ฉ๐ชYannick Hanfmann
#54 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
Sebastian Baez and Yannick Hanfmann have met 3 times since 2022; Yannick Hanfmann leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Rio de Janeiro in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Hanfmann leads 2โ1. Hanfmann has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Baez has taken 3 sets to Hanfmann's 5. Their most recent meeting: Yannick Hanfmann won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 13/60 | 32% | 21/65 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Hanfmann 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
๐พ All-Court
Hanfmann
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs ๐พ All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yannick Hanfmann.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23, 2025
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Feb 13, 2022
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| 1 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 5% | 1/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ6 | 11โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | +4.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | +0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,066 mi ยท 4,934 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA โ MEX โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Hanfmann has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Baez's 60%).
| Opponent | Baez | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 06 36 | W 67 76 62 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 75 63 | L 57 76 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 62 | W 76 64 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 36 57 63 | W 67 76 62 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 36 | L 57 36 |
| Alex Molcan | W 64 62 | W 76 63 |
| Tristan Boyer | W 62 64 | W 67 76 64 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 57 16 | W 36 62 62 |
| Marcos Giron | W 61 64 | W 64 67 75 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 36 | L 67 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger ยท Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Luca Van Assche
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Flavio Cobolli
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Benjamin Bonzi
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Semifinals
Jul 24
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 64โ70 matches
| Metric | Baez | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 61% |
| Sets won | 53% | 57% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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