Sebastian Baez vs Valentin VacherotPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Valentin Vacherot have met 1 time since 2026; Valentin Vacherot leads 1–0. Across all meetings Baez has taken 0 sets to Vacherot's 2. Their most recent meeting: Valentin Vacherot won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Valentin Vacherot | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 6/27 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/61 | 44% | 17/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Vacherot 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Vacherot
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valentin Vacherot.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 10, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Vacherot | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Valentin Vacherot | ||
| 1 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 6/20 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -11.4% | +15.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.05u | +2.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vacherot has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 50%).
| Opponent | Baez | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 61 | L 46 26 |
| Lloyd Harris | W 64 64 | L 46 67 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 26 16 06 | L 62 26 36 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L | W 57 62 61 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 06 36 | W 67 63 64 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | W 64 60 | W 46 63 62 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 36 16 | W 46 63 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 26 64 | W 67 63 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 63 36 64 | W 76 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Alexander Blockx
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Otto Virtanen
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, FIN-MON 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Eero Vasa
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, FIN-MON 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–66 matches
| Metric | Baez | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 61% |
| Sets won | 52% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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