Sebastian Baez vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Tallon Griekspoor have met 3 times since 2021; Tallon Griekspoor leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bratislava Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Griekspoor leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Baez has taken 2 sets to Griekspoor's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tallon Griekspoor won at US Open (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 13/60 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Griekspoor 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tallon Griekspoor.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 10, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 13, 2021
Bratislava Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | +16.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | +1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 06 36 | L 36 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 61 | L 67 64 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 26 | W 75 76 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 26 63 64 | L 67 46 |
| Alex Molcan | W 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 75 57 57 | W 64 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | W 63 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 76 | W 61 16 61 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 | W 63 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Sonego
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Edas Butvilas
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Luca Van Assche
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
James Duckworth
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–64 matches
| Metric | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 43% |
| Sets won | 53% | 46% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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