Sebastian Baez vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Tallon Griekspoor have met 3 times since 2021; Tallon Griekspoor leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bratislava Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Griekspoor leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Baez has taken 2 sets to Griekspoor's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tallon Griekspoor won at US Open (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/60 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 15/28 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Griekspoor 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tallon Griekspoor.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 10, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 13, 2021
Bratislava Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | -17.4% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.95u | +0.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baez's 30%).
| Opponent | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 26 | L 46 75 67 |
| Ben Shelton | W 75 63 | L 61 16 67 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 26 16 06 | W 76 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 06 36 | L 36 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 61 | L 67 64 46 |
| Alex Molcan | W 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 75 57 57 | W 64 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | W 63 76 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 | W 63 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Nicolas Mejia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–65 matches
| Metric | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 43% |
| Sets won | 52% | 45% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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