Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Roman Andres Burruchaga and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2025; Roman Andres Burruchaga leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Burruchaga leads 2–1. Burruchaga has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Burruchaga has taken 3 sets to Baez's 3. Their most recent meeting: Roman Andres Burruchaga won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Andres Burruchaga | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roman Andres Burruchaga | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 24/38 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 15/27 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 29/65 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 22% | 5/23 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 34/43 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 24/43 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Andres Burruchaga 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Burruchaga
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 26, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Feb 18, 2025
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Burruchaga | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roman Andres Burruchaga | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -26.3% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -2.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Burruchaga and Baez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | W 63 26 76 | W 16 63 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 64 26 64 | L 26 16 06 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 46 46 | L |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 67 36 | L 64 06 36 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 64 36 46 | W 64 60 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 36 67 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 62 36 | L 16 67 64 62 57 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 46 | W 75 63 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 46 63 | W 75 75 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 62 26 63 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stan Wawrinka
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Semifinals
Jul 17
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–69 matches
| Metric | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 54% |
| Sets won | 55% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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