Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Roman Andres Burruchaga and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Burruchaga has taken 3 sets to Baez's 3. Their most recent meeting: Roman Andres Burruchaga won at Roland Garros (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Andres Burruchaga | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roman Andres Burruchaga | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 31/46 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 14/26 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 29/72 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 4/24 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 9/11 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 10/21 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 42/50 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 31/50 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Andres Burruchaga 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Burruchaga
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Baez.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Feb 18, 2025
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Burruchaga | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roman Andres Burruchaga | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.57 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -17.0% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.53u | +1.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Burruchaga has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 67 36 | L 64 06 36 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 36 67 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 62 36 | L 16 67 64 62 57 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 46 | W 75 63 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 46 63 | W 75 75 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 62 26 63 | W 76 62 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 36 67 | L 46 36 |
| Marcos Giron | W 63 26 76 | W 61 64 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 62 61 | L 57 16 |
| Adam Walton | W 62 63 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stan Wawrinka
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Semifinals
Jul 17
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–75 matches
| Metric | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Burruchaga | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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