Rafael Nadal vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rafael Nadal and Stan Wawrinka have met 8 times since 2015; Rafael Nadal leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Nadal leads 3–1. On hard courts Nadal leads 3–1. Nadal has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nadal leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nadal has taken 13 sets to Wawrinka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nadal | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rafael Nadal | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 76% | 13/17 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 45% | 9/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 35% | 13/37 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 71% | 10/14 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 61% | 14/23 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 68% | 15/22 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 82% | 14/17 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 76% | 13/17 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 7 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nadal 5, Wawrinka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Oct 31, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 16
May 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 11, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay · Final
Apr 12, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 7, 2015
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 6, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 12, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 12, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nadal | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.00 |
| ROI % | - | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nadal | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 2nd Round
May 20
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 1st Round
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Nadal | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 45% |
| Sets won | - | 48% |
| Games won | - | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nadal | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 4 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nadal | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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