Pedro Martinez vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pedro Martinez and Tommy Paul have met 6 times since 2019; Tommy Paul leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. On clay courts Paul leads 2–0. Paul has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Martinez has taken 3 sets to Paul's 10. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Martinez | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pedro Martinez | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 11/34 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/58 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 9/23 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Martinez 1, Paul 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Martinez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 9, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 26, 2021
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 1st Round
May 2, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Aug 26, 2019
US Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Martinez | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pedro Martinez | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Martinez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -36.6% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -5.49u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Martinez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | JAM | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Martinez's 10%).
| Opponent | Martinez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | L 46 26 | W 64 76 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 36 16 | W 36 63 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 46 46 | L 57 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 06 16 | L 63 36 26 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 67 46 | L 57 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 26 62 46 | W 63 62 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 16 46 | W 62 75 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 26 46 | W 67 76 76 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 62 64 | W 64 62 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 67 16 | W 62 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Royer
Kingston 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Garrett Johns
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Evan Zhu
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Hugo Dellien
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luciano Darderi
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Henrique Rocha
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–59 matches
| Metric | Martinez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 69% |
| Sets won | 43% | 64% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Martinez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Martinez | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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