Pedro Martinez vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pedro Martinez and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Zagreb Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Martinez leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Martinez has taken 5 sets to Baez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Martinez | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pedro Martinez | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 11/34 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/58 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 9/23 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Martinez 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Martinez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Baez.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 2, 2024
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 4, 2023
Tata Open Maharashtra - Pune
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 27, 2022
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · Final
May 14, 2021
Zagreb Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Martinez | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pedro Martinez | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Martinez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -36.6% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.49u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Martinez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | JAM | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Martinez's 11%).
| Opponent | Martinez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | L 46 26 | L 26 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 06 16 | L 46 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 16 | L 36 16 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 67 57 | W 64 62 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L 67 16 | W 64 63 |
| Emilio Nava | L 36 36 | W 46 75 63 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 46 64 46 | L 75 57 57 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 16 | W 61 64 |
| Holger Rune | W 61 46 76 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Royer
Kingston 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Garrett Johns
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Evan Zhu
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Hugo Dellien
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luciano Darderi
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Henrique Rocha
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–64 matches
| Metric | Martinez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 55% |
| Sets won | 43% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Martinez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Martinez | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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