Naomi Osaka vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
5wNaomi Osaka and Sorana Cirstea have met 1 time since 2026; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Cirstea's 1. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Cirstea 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Cirstea's 71%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | W 76 64 | W 61 76 |
| Elise Mertens | W 63 36 75 | W 63 62 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 46 26 | L 57 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | W 26 63 75 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 46 63 | W 63 60 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 61 62 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–57 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 72% |
| Sets won | 68% | 69% |
| Games won | 56% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.