Naomi Osaka vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Naomi Osaka and Sorana Cirstea have met 1 time since 2026; Naomi Osaka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 2 sets to Cirstea's 1. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 17/32 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Cirstea 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Naomi Osaka and Sorana Cirstea are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cirstea's 40%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Elise Mertens | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 46 26 | L 57 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 67 46 | L 26 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | W 26 63 75 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 36 | L 62 36 67 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 46 63 | W 63 60 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 62 | L 46 36 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L 36 26 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 61 62 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–56 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 68% |
| Sets won | 67% | 65% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.