Naomi Osaka vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#121 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
5wNaomi Osaka and Qinwen Zheng have met 3 times since 2022; Qinwen Zheng leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose in 2022 on hard. Zheng has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 3 sets to Zheng's 5. Their most recent meeting: Qinwen Zheng won at Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 42% | 5/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Zheng 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2024
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
May 13, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Aug 2, 2022
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -45.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.27u | -4.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Zheng's 17%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 67 46 | L 64 46 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 46 26 | L 64 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | L 36 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 46 | L 36 67 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 36 64 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Elena Micic
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Katerina Siniakova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Clara Tauson
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Solana Sierra
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–44 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 50% |
| Sets won | 67% | 48% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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