Naomi Osaka vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#23 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
7Title4Naomi Osaka and Qinwen Zheng have met 3 times since 2022; Qinwen Zheng leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose in 2022 on hard. Zheng has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 3 sets to Zheng's 5. Their most recent meeting: Qinwen Zheng won at Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 22/33 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 43% | 10/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Zheng 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2024
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
May 13, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Aug 2, 2022
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | +39.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | +7.08u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Zheng's 33%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | W 63 36 75 | W 75 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 46 | L 63 16 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | W 75 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 62 57 61 | L 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 46 26 | L 64 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 62 76 | L 36 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 46 | L 36 67 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 36 64 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 11
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anna Kalinskaya
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Han Shi
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–44 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 63% |
| Sets won | 68% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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