Naomi Osaka vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wNaomi Osaka and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2025; Paula Badosa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osaka has taken 1 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osaka | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naomi Osaka | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 22/31 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 17/32 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osaka 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Naomi Osaka and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osaka | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naomi Osaka | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–3 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.27u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osaka | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 350 mi · 563 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Osaka and Badosa posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Osaka | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 64 67 46 | L 36 26 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 62 64 | W 64 61 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 61 63 | W 63 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 67 36 | L 16 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 62 | W 16 63 62 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 76 36 62 | W 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 67 64 | L 26 16 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 46 63 | L 62 57 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 46 26 | W 63 64 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 61 46 26 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–43 matches
| Metric | Osaka | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 59% |
| Sets won | 67% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osaka | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osaka | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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