Mikael Ymer vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mikael Ymer and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2017; Tommy Paul leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Bordeaux in 2017 on clay. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. Across all meetings Ymer has taken 4 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Mikael Ymer won at Stockholm Open - Stockholm (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ymer | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mikael Ymer | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/1 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 1/2 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 100% | 4/4 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 79% | 22/28 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 61% | 17/28 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ymer 1, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ymer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 20, 2022
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 19, 2021
Kremlin Cup - Moscow
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 10, 2017
Champaign
H Hard · Round of 16
May 3, 2017
Bordeaux
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ymer | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.81 |
| ROI % | - | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ymer | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rudolf Molleker
Pullach · Round of 32
Jan 14
Elias Ymer
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 1st Round
Oct 14
Gerard Campana Lee
Bonn · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Alex Molcan
Liberec · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Amit Vales
Liberec · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Kenny De Schepper
Troyes · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Alec Beckley
Troyes · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–58 matches
| Metric | Ymer | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 69% |
| Sets won | 40% | 64% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ymer | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ymer | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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