Max Purcell vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Max Purcell and Tommy Paul have met 1 time since 2024; Tommy Paul leads 1–0. Across all meetings Purcell has taken 0 sets to Paul's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at US Open (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Purcell | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Max Purcell | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 90% | 9/10 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 2/13 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 8/10 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/2 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 10/11 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Purcell
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 29, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Purcell | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Max Purcell | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Purcell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–2 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.18u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Purcell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | JAM | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Garrett Johns
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Harold Mayot
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Wuning · Final
Jun 28
Dong Ju Kim
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Grigoriy Lomakin
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–50 matches
| Metric | Purcell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 70% |
| Sets won | 75% | 65% |
| Games won | 64% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Purcell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Purcell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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