Adrian Mannarino vs Max PurcellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Max Purcell have met 4 times since 2022; Adrian Mannarino leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2022 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Mannarino leads 2–0. Mannarino has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 8 sets to Purcell's 4. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Davis Cup, Group B, Manchester (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Purcell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Max Purcell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 94% | 16/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 14% | 3/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 89% | 16/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 2, Purcell 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Purcell
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 14, 2023
Davis Cup, Group B, Manchester
H Hard · Rubber 1
Aug 6, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12, 2022
Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 27, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Purcell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Max Purcell | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.30 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -12.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | — |
| Route | FRA → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Mannarino and Purcell posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | W 67 62 62 | W 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Filip Peliwo
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Julien De Cuyper
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Zhao Zhao
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Cruz Hewitt
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 77% |
| Sets won | 38% | 77% |
| Games won | 46% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Purcell |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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