Mattia Bellucci vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mattia Bellucci and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bellucci has taken 0 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bellucci | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mattia Bellucci | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 9/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 19/32 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bellucci 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mattia Bellucci.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bellucci | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mattia Bellucci | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bellucci | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +11.2% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.57u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bellucci | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bellucci has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Baez's 20%).
| Opponent | Bellucci | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | L 62 46 26 | L 46 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 62 64 | L 64 06 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 62 67 | L 36 67 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 75 67 62 | L 36 16 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 16 46 | W 63 36 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 76 61 | L 16 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 75 57 57 | W 46 75 64 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 64 64 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 26 16 | L 57 36 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 46 62 67 | L 75 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–64 matches
| Metric | Bellucci | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 55% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bellucci | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bellucci | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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