Matteo Berrettini vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นMatteo Berrettini
#46 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 6โ1

๐จ๐ญStan Wawrinka
#142 ยท 41 yrs ยท R
4wMatteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka have met 2 times since 2026; Matteo Berrettini leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2026 on grass. Berrettini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 6 sets to Wawrinka's 1. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/39 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
๐ค Servebot
Wawrinka
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 31, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jun 30, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ5 | 1โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.74 |
| ROI % | -25.1% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.26u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 1,092 mi ยท 1,758 km | โ |
| Route | JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Wawrinka's 17%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 57 76 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 36 46 | L 36 63 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 67 64 | L 46 76 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 60 60 | L 26 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 16 67 | L 46 26 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 64 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 ยท Rubber 2
Sep 18
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ49 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 34% |
| Sets won | 56% | 40% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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