Matteo Berrettini vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นMatteo Berrettini
#43 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 3โ1

๐จ๐ญStan Wawrinka
#127 ยท 41 yrs ยท R
Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Berrettini leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 3 sets to Wawrinka's 1. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 31 ยท 2:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.20 or shorter, Matteo Berrettini has won 59 of 64 matches, 92% against a fair-price expectation of 85%.
Priced around 4.50 or longer, Stan Wawrinka has won 3 of 15 matches, 20% against a fair-price expectation of 16%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 35% | 13/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
๐ค Servebot
Wawrinka
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 15 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ3 | 1โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | -6.2% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Wawrinka's 25%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 36 36 | W 76 76 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 57 76 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 36 46 | L 36 63 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 67 64 | L 46 76 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 60 60 | L 26 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 16 67 | L 46 26 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 64 | L 26 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 67 26 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 4th Round
Jun 1
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva ยท 2nd Round
May 20
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva ยท 1st Round
May 18
Matchup videos
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ48 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 45% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |