Matteo Berrettini vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Matteo Berrettini
#43 · 30 yrs · R
6 meetings · sets 9–2
🇪🇸Roberto Bautista Agut
#230 · 38 yrs · R
9wMatteo Berrettini and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 6 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Gstaad in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Berrettini leads 3–0. On hard courts Berrettini leads 2–1. Berrettini has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Berrettini leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 9 sets to Agut's 2. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 4, Bautista Agut 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 7, 2026
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters
C Clay · Round of 64
Feb 6, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 16
May 4, 2019
Munich
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 2, 2019
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 29, 2018
Gstaad
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +2.9% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.20u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Agut's 0%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Titouan Droguet | W 36 61 64 | L 16 61 16 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 26 | L 67 46 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 64 | L 26 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 67 64 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–48 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 32% |
| Sets won | 56% | 36% |
| Games won | 51% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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