Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Arnaldi and Nuno Borges have met 3 times since 2022; Nuno Borges leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Roseto Degli Abruzzi 1 Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Arnaldi has taken 4 sets to Borges's 5. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Cagliari Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaldi | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Arnaldi | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 41% | 7/17 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 11/19 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 58% | 21/36 | 35% | 20/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 24% | 4/17 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 7/15 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaldi 0, Borges 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nuno Borges.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 1, 2026
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 27, 2022
Wimbledon
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 9, 2022
Roseto Degli Abruzzi 1 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaldi | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Arnaldi | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 22/22 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 82% | 18/22 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 23% | 5/22 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -33.3% | -0.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.66u | -0.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 8 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Borges has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Arnaldi's 44%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 26 36 | W 63 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 46 46 | W 64 62 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 75 64 | W 67 62 64 |
| Damir Dzumhur | L 67 76 67 | L 67 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 67 36 76 64 | L 46 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 16 64 36 | L 67 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 46 76 64 | L 57 26 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 76 | W 63 60 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 46 | W 64 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–64 matches
| Metric | Arnaldi | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 50% |
| Sets won | 49% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaldi | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaldi | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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