Mariano Navone vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Rafael Nadal have met 1 time since 2024; Rafael Nadal leads 1–0. Across all meetings Navone has taken 1 sets to Nadal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 14/21 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 23/31 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 0, Nadal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rafael Nadal.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 19, 2024
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | - |
| ROI % | +17.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.59u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–64 matches
| Metric | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | - |
| Sets won | 55% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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