Mariano Navone vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mariano Navone and Rafael Nadal have met 1 time since 2024; Rafael Nadal leads 1–0. Across all meetings Navone has taken 1 sets to Nadal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at Bastad (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navone | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mariano Navone | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 20/58 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 17/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navone 0, Nadal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 19, 2024
Bastad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | - |
| ROI % | -17.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–62 matches
| Metric | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | - |
| Sets won | 55% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.