Maria Sakkari vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–4
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Maria Sakkari and Marta Kostyuk have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 2–0. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 6 sets to Kostyuk's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 33% | 16/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 2, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jul 5, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 18, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 31, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -8.9% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.25u | +0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sakkari's 20%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 16 46 | L 26 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 46 | W 46 60 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 64 16 16 | L 63 16 26 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 57 61 | W 62 64 |
| Linda Noskova | W 75 76 | L 46 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 63 62 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 62 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 36 36 | W 63 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 36 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 63 46 16 | L 62 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–49 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 78% |
| Sets won | 47% | 71% |
| Games won | 49% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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