Marcos Giron vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marcos Giron and Sebastian Korda have met 4 times since 2019; Sebastian Korda leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Sarasota in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Korda leads 3–0. Korda has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Giron has taken 5 sets to Korda's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giron | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcos Giron | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 17/27 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 52% | 26/50 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Giron 1, Korda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 19, 2022
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 28, 2020
Newport Beach Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 15, 2019
Sarasota
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | - |
| ROI % | -63.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -6.39u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Giron's 40%).
| Opponent | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Ilagan | W 63 76 | W 62 46 63 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 67 | L 62 67 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 64 67 46 | W 46 62 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | W 63 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 75 67 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–56 matches
| Metric | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 67% |
| Sets won | 49% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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