Marcos Giron vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMarcos Giron
#77 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
44 meetings Β· sets 5β6

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wMarcos Giron and Sebastian Korda have met 4 times since 2019; Sebastian Korda leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Sarasota in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Korda leads 3β0. Korda has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Giron has taken 5 sets to Korda's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giron | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcos Giron | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 16/26 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 15/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 14/26 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Giron 1, Korda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giron
π― Baseliner
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π― Baseliner vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 19, 2022
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jan 28, 2020
Newport Beach Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 15, 2019
Sarasota
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β8 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.52 | - |
| ROI % | -46.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.53u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 2 | β |
| Distance | 737 mi Β· 1,186 km | β |
| Route | CAN β USA | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Giron and Korda posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Yibing Wu | L 57 26 46 | L 64 16 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 67 | L 62 67 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 64 67 46 | W 46 62 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | W 63 76 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 63 75 | W 61 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 75 67 | L 76 46 67 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 64 64 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β52 matches
| Metric | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 64% |
| Sets won | 49% | 61% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giron | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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