Marcos Giron vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marcos Giron and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2020; Marcos Giron leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2020 on hard. Across all meetings Giron has taken 5 sets to Berrettini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giron | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcos Giron | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 16/26 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 15/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 14/26 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Giron 0, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2024
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Nov 3, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Giron | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marcos Giron | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.52 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -46.1% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.53u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 737 mi · 1,186 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Giron and Berrettini posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 57 64 26 | L 64 36 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 46 75 63 | L 36 76 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 76 63 64 | W 62 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 63 57 67 | L 67 76 46 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 76 75 | W 40 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 64 16 61 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 63 46 26 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 62 | W 64 62 |
| Casper Ruud | L 64 67 46 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–52 matches
| Metric | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 56% |
| Sets won | 49% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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