Marcos Giron vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marcos Giron and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2020; Marcos Giron leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2020 on hard. Across all meetings Giron has taken 5 sets to Berrettini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giron | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcos Giron | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 17/27 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 26/49 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 34% | 11/32 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 14/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 13/26 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Giron 0, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2024
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Nov 3, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Giron | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marcos Giron | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -63.9% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | -6.39u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Giron has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Berrettini's 50%).
| Opponent | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 76 61 | L 67 57 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 36 64 | W 67 61 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 76 16 46 | W 16 76 64 |
| Mariano Navone | W 46 75 63 | L 63 36 46 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 63 36 36 76 16 | L 67 76 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 57 64 26 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 76 63 64 | W 62 64 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 76 75 | W |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 64 16 61 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–55 matches
| Metric | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 57% |
| Sets won | 48% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giron | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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