Madison Keys vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 1–8
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Madison Keys and Maria Sakkari have met 4 times since 2020; Maria Sakkari leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–0. Sakkari has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Keys has taken 1 sets to Sakkari's 8. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Keys | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Madison Keys | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 16/47 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Keys 0, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 29, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 3, 2021
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 24, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -10.3% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Keys | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Sakkari's 13%).
| Opponent | Keys | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 64 16 16 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 67 | W 75 76 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 64 | L 36 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 75 | L 63 46 16 |
| Qinwen Zheng | L 64 26 46 | L 64 67 46 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 46 64 62 | L 36 16 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 63 63 | L 46 67 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 61 75 | L 62 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–47 matches
| Metric | Keys | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 49% |
| Sets won | 65% | 47% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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