Lorenzo Musetti vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Nicolas Mejia have met 1 time since 2026; Lorenzo Musetti leads 1–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 2 sets to Mejia's 0. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 14% | 4/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 30% | 20/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Mejia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +36.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | +6.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mejia's 40%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Zheng | W 61 63 | L 76 67 16 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 46 36 | L 06 26 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 75 62 | W 46 64 63 |
| Coleman Wong | W 64 64 | W 75 76 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 63 63 | L 60 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–70 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 59% |
| Sets won | 61% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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