Bernard Tomic vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bernard Tomic and Nicolas Mejia have met 5 times since 2024; Bernard Tomic leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Bloomfield Hills Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Tomic leads 4–1. Across all meetings Tomic has taken 8 sets to Mejia's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Mejia won at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomic | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bernard Tomic | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 19/33 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 33% | 21/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 12/27 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 62% | 21/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomic 2, Mejia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomic
🤖 Servebot
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2026
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 14, 2025
Barranquilla Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 30, 2025
Lexington Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Pune Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2024
Bloomfield Hills Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomic | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bernard Tomic | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 19/22 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 8/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–7 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | +23.6% | +30.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.44u | +4.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,578 mi · 2,540 km | 5,846 mi · 9,409 km |
| Route | CHN | FRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Mejia's 17%).
| Opponent | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 46 64 26 | L 67 06 |
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 61 60 | L 57 26 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 46 46 | L 67 36 |
| Borna Gojo | L 36 64 46 | L 46 67 |
| Arthur Fery | L 46 26 | W 63 62 |
| Daniil Glinka | W 64 63 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Timofey Skatov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Terence Atmane
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yuta Shimizu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Fajing Sun
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rigele Te
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Michael Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Ugo Blanchet
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tallon Griekspoor
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Liam Draxl
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–66 matches
| Metric | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 59% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
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