Bernard Tomic vs Nicolas MejiaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bernard Tomic and Nicolas Mejia have met 4 times since 2024; Bernard Tomic leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Bloomfield Hills Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Tomic leads 4–0. Tomic has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tomic has taken 8 sets to Mejia's 2. Their most recent meeting: Bernard Tomic won at Barranquilla Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomic | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bernard Tomic | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 18/31 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 14% | 4/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 23/55 | 30% | 20/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 14/27 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 13/27 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomic 2, Mejia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomic
💥 Big Hitter
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Bernard Tomic and Nicolas Mejia are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 14, 2025
Barranquilla Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 30, 2025
Lexington Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Pune Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2024
Bloomfield Hills Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomic | Mejia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bernard Tomic | Nicolas Mejia | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | +25.8% | +36.7% |
| Units P/L | +4.12u | +6.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,788 mi · 2,877 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mejia's 30%).
| Opponent | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 46 64 26 | L 67 06 |
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 61 60 | W 63 67 63 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 64 64 | W 64 64 64 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 46 46 | L 67 36 |
| Borna Gojo | L 36 64 46 | L 46 67 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | L 16 46 | L 26 26 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 64 36 16 | L 60 26 46 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 06 62 | L 63 16 46 |
| Daniil Glinka | W 64 63 | L 36 36 |
| Marek Gengel | W 62 63 | W 76 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edward Winter
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karen Khachanov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Final
Jul 20
Spencer Johnson
Lincoln Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Matthew Forbes
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
James McCabe
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–70 matches
| Metric | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 59% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomic | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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