Lorenzo Musetti vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Miomir Kecmanovic have met 4 times since 2022; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–1. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 8 sets to Kecmanovic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 53% | 28/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 33% | 12/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 2, Kecmanovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 25, 2023
Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ITA-SRB 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 1
Apr 11, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 22, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | -6.34u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kecmanovic's 30%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Zheng | W 61 63 | W 64 46 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 62 | W 63 10 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | W 26 76 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 57 61 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | L 46 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 36 63 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | L 67 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | L 26 63 64 36 46 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 64 | L 57 46 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 60 57 75 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–58 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 47% |
| Sets won | 59% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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