Lorenzo Musetti vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Miomir Kecmanovic have met 4 times since 2022; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–1. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 8 sets to Kecmanovic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 53% | 27/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 2, Kecmanovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Musetti and Miomir Kecmanovic are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 25, 2023
Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ITA-SRB 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 1
Apr 11, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 22, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 3.08 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | -34.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | -4.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kecmanovic's 40%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Zheng | W 61 63 | W 64 46 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 62 | W 63 10 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 62 20 | L 16 64 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 26 | L 64 36 76 26 36 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | W 26 76 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 62 67 | W 76 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 57 61 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | L 46 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 36 63 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Rinderknech
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–55 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 47% |
| Sets won | 62% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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