Lorenzo Musetti vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Mariano Navone have met 3 times since 2024; Lorenzo Musetti leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cagliari Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–1. Musetti has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Navone leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 5 sets to Navone's 3. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Navone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 30, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jul 30, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 5, 2024
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | +25.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | +3.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Navone's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | L 67 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | L 46 46 36 |
| Novak Djokovic | L | W 76 57 46 62 61 |
| Raphael Collignon | W | W 63 76 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | W 16 63 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 64 | W 64 60 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | L 67 62 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | W 75 62 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 64 63 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–64 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 58% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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