Lorenzo Musetti vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Mariano Navone have met 3 times since 2024; Lorenzo Musetti leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cagliari Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–1. Musetti has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Navone leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 5 sets to Navone's 3. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 34% | 20/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Navone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 30, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jul 30, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 5, 2024
Cagliari Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | -2.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Navone's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | W 16 63 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 64 | W 64 60 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 62 20 | L 61 67 36 67 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | L 67 62 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | W 75 62 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 60 61 | W 62 62 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 64 63 | L 64 36 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 36 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 26 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–62 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 56% |
| Sets won | 62% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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