Leylah Fernandez vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨π¦Leylah Fernandez
#32 Β· 23 yrs Β· Left-Handed
1 meeting Β· sets 0β2

πΊπ¦Marta Kostyuk
#11 Β· 23 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Leylah Fernandez and Marta Kostyuk have met 1 time since 2025; Marta Kostyuk leads 1β0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 0 sets to Kostyuk's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Kostyuk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
π₯ Big Hitter
Kostyuk
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 11, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β6 | 11β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Fernandez's 50%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | L 26 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 61 64 | W 46 60 62 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 64 | W 64 60 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 67 46 | W 67 63 63 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 76 36 61 | W 62 63 |
| Ann Li | W 63 62 | W 60 67 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 26 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg Β· 2nd Round
Jun 23
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· Semifinals
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 48β51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 77% |
| Sets won | 49% | 71% |
| Games won | 52% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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