Leylah Fernandez vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Title1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wLeylah Fernandez and Marta Kostyuk have met 1 time since 2025; Marta Kostyuk leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 0 sets to Kostyuk's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/58 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 20/40 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Kostyuk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 11, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.15u | -1.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fernandez's 60%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 36 63 | W 63 62 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 26 64 36 | W 62 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 62 75 | W 46 60 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 57 75 63 | L 64 26 57 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 61 46 36 | W 61 64 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 64 | W 64 60 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 67 46 | W 67 63 63 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 76 36 61 | W 62 63 |
| Ann Li | W 63 62 | W 60 67 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–58 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 78% |
| Sets won | 54% | 72% |
| Games won | 53% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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