Leylah Fernandez vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Title5 meetings · sets 4–6
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Leylah Fernandez and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2021; Maria Sakkari leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Grampians Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–2. Fernandez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 4 sets to Sakkari's 6. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/58 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 20/40 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 2, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Leylah Fernandez and Maria Sakkari are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 4, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 5, 2021
Grampians Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | -19.2% |
| Units P/L | +5.15u | -2.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Fernandez and Sakkari posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 26 64 36 | W 62 57 61 |
| Talia Gibson | W 75 60 | L 16 64 26 |
| Maja Chwalinska | W 16 64 62 | L 61 36 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 62 75 | L 06 46 |
| Alycia Parks | W 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 46 46 | W 64 62 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 46 67 | W 63 62 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 62 61 | W 60 76 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 61 75 | W 64 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–58 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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