Leylah Fernandez vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
5 meetings · sets 4–6
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Leylah Fernandez and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2021; Maria Sakkari leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Grampians Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–2. Fernandez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 4 sets to Sakkari's 6. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 2, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 4, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 5, 2021
Grampians Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Fernandez's 38%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 46 46 | W 64 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | L 16 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 61 64 | L 06 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 46 67 | W 63 62 |
| Alycia Parks | L 46 46 | W 64 63 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 62 61 | W 60 76 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 61 75 | W 64 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 49% |
| Sets won | 49% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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