Learner Tien vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Learner Tien and Tommy Paul have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tien has taken 3 sets to Paul's 2. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tien | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Learner Tien | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 22/48 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 13/28 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 77% | 17/22 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tien 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Learner Tien and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 21, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tien | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Learner Tien | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tien | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -14.6% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.75u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tien | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tien's 30%).
| Opponent | Tien | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 64 46 | W 75 46 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 76 16 67 | W 46 76 64 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 36 | W 36 63 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 64 64 | L 57 46 |
| Valentin Royer | L 67 64 26 | W 64 76 |
| Adrian Mannarino | L 57 46 | W 62 26 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 26 64 26 | L 57 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 46 63 64 | L 76 46 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 46 61 76 | W 63 76 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 57 46 | W 61 36 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–63 matches
| Metric | Tien | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 70% |
| Sets won | 61% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tien | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tien | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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