Kei Nishikori vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Tommy Paul have met 2 times since 2017; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 3 sets to Paul's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 4/8 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 7/14 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 0, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 4, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.62 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.21u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–50 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 70% |
| Sets won | 54% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.