Karolina Pliskova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#49 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6w6 meetings · sets 9–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Pliskova and Naomi Osaka have met 6 times since 2018; Karolina Pliskova leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Pliskova leads 4–2. Pliskova has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pliskova leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pliskova has taken 9 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Pliskova won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pliskova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Pliskova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 3/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 9/16 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 13/14 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 12/14 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pliskova 2, Osaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 3, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 11, 2020
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 19, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 23, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Final
Mar 9, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pliskova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Pliskova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pliskova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.73 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -35.6% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.78u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pliskova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Pliskova's 30%).
| Opponent | Pliskova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | L | L 57 61 67 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 06 26 | W 76 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 06 26 | L 16 46 |
| Elise Mertens | W 75 26 76 | W 63 36 75 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 67 | W 61 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 64 26 26 | W 76 76 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 36 | L 26 16 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 61 63 | W 62 62 |
| Talia Gibson | W 75 64 | L 57 46 |
| Donna Vekic | L 46 64 36 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–44 matches
| Metric | Pliskova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 75% |
| Sets won | 57% | 68% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pliskova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pliskova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
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