Karolina Pliskova vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#49 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6w8 meetings · sets 12–7
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Pliskova and Maria Sakkari have met 8 times since 2018; Karolina Pliskova leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Pliskova leads 3–1. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Pliskova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pliskova has taken 12 sets to Sakkari's 7. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Pliskova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pliskova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Pliskova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 3/12 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 13/14 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 12/14 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pliskova 4, Sakkari 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Pliskova and Maria Sakkari are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 19, 2023
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 21, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 11, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 8, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 18, 2019
Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
May 16, 2018
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pliskova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Pliskova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pliskova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.73 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -35.6% | -19.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.78u | -2.69u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pliskova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | — | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pliskova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (20% vs Sakkari's 0%).
| Opponent | Pliskova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | W 75 64 | L 16 64 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 36 | L 64 16 16 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 26 | L 06 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 06 26 | L 46 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | L | L 63 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–46 matches
| Metric | Pliskova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 52% |
| Sets won | 57% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pliskova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pliskova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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