Elena Rybakina vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 10–0
🇨🇿Karolina Pliskova
#49 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
6wElena Rybakina and Karolina Pliskova have met 5 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 4–0. Rybakina has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 10 sets to Pliskova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 86% | 12/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 5, Pliskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Pliskova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Karolina Pliskova are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Jan 16, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2023
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 18, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 20, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rybakina and Pliskova posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 62 64 | W 46 63 75 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | L 16 67 |
| Iga Swiatek | L | L 16 36 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | L 06 26 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | W 75 26 76 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 62 | W 64 76 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 62 63 | W 63 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 62 | W 75 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 64 46 | W |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 61 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Hanne Vandewinkel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 63% |
| Sets won | 74% | 57% |
| Games won | 58% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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