Elena Rybakina vs Karolina PliskovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#2 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
85 meetings ยท sets 10โ0

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Pliskova
#56 ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Karolina Pliskova have met 5 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 5โ0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 4โ0. Rybakina has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 10 sets to Pliskova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 5, Pliskova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Pliskova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Karolina Pliskova are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 4th Round
Jan 16, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Feb 9, 2023
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 18, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Feb 20, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Pliskova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Karolina Pliskova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ3 | 6โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -13.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -1.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Pliskova's 70%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | L 06 26 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | W 75 26 76 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 62 | W 64 76 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 61 | L 16 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 62 63 | W 63 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 62 | W 75 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 61 | W 64 76 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 63 | W 67 76 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 64 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Oleksandra Oliynykova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tereza Valentova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Marie Bouzkova
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Caty Mcnally
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 61% |
| Sets won | 73% | 58% |
| Games won | 58% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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